Gagra vs FC Telavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
37
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
GAG
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 0
SHU
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
GAG
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
GOR
16%
25%
59%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 0
GAG
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 1
SAM
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 1
GOR
21%
28%
52%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 1
TEL
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 1
DBA
12%
23%
65%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 1
TEL
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |