Gagra vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
57%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ZES
4 - 1
GAG
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
DTB
4 - 1
GAG
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
GAG
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GAG
1 - 2
TSK
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
GAG
1 - 1
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
MET
3 - 1
SAM
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TSK
1 - 2
MET
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
ZES
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
WIT
1 - 2
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MET
1 - 0
DTB
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |