Gagra vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
10º
8º
48
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 67 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
83.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 2
DTB
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
GAG
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
FTK
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 0
GAG
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 3
GOR
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
DBA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
2 - 2
GOR
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
SAB
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |