Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
8º
31
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 71 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 67 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 66 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 56 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
47.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
76% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
GAG
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
FTK
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 0
GAG
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
GAG
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
0 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
DBA
2 - 0
DTB
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
2 - 2
GOR
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
DTB
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |