David Kipiani Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GAG
1 - 1
DBA
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
GAG
0 - 1
IME
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
GAG
4 - 0
GUR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
GAG
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
GAG
1 - 0
KOL
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
DTB
2 - 0
SIO
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 0
DTB
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 4
DTB
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
DTB
0 - 0
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DTB
1 - 1
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |