Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
10º
8º
31
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 56 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 24 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 18% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
GAG
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOK
7 - 2
GAG
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 9
GAG
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
GAG
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Batumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 0
KOL
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 3
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LNZ
1 - 0
DBA
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
2 - 2
ZOR
31%
23%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
1 - 3
KOL
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |