Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
74
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FTK
4 - 1
GAG
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 6
DTB
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
20%
25%
56%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAG
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 1
GAG
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Batumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DBA
1 - 1
SAM
89%
9%
3%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DBA
5 - 0
SHU
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 2
DBA
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
DBA
1 - 2
TIR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
TIR
1 - 1
DBA
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |