David Kipiani Cup Last 16
Global 6-0
Gagra vs Chiatura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GAG
5 - 0
RAC
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
ZES
3 - 1
GAG
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 1
GAG
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
GAG
1 - 2
GOR
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
GAG
1 - 2
DTB
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IME
1 - 0
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
KOL
4 - 2
CHI
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEA
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
CHI
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |