Gagra vs Chiatura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
DBA
1 - 1
GAG
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
IME
0 - 3
GAG
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
GUR
1 - 0
GAG
16%
23%
62%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GAG
3 - 1
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
WIT
2 - 4
GAG
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 1
CHI
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
ADE
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 3
CHK
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |