Gagra vs Betlemi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SKU
0 - 2
GAG
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GAG
0 - 2
SAS
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
GUR
0 - 0
GAG
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
GAG
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
GAG
2 - 3
DIN
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Betlemi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BET
3 - 2
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
STU
3 - 1
BET
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
BET
2 - 0
CHI
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
SKU
48%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
SAS
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |