Gaflenz vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
STP
3 - 0
GAF
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GAF
3 - 0
GOT
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 2
GAF
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GAF
5 - 3
ZWE
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 3
LEO
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 1
STP
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
STP
1 - 3
WAI
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
STP
1 - 2
LEO
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
KOT
3 - 0
STP
65%
20%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 2
STP
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |