Gaflenz vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
3 - 0
GAF
31%
24%
44%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GAF
5 - 1
LAN
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
STP
2 - 3
GAF
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 5
GAF
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GAF
2 - 2
SVS
85%
11%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCR
2 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
0 - 1
LAN
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STP
2 - 0
SCH
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |