Gaflenz vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
GAF
0 - 2
RAP
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ADM
5 - 1
GAF
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GAF
1 - 1
OST
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 0
GAF
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SVH
1 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
WIE
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
WUR
0 - 2
PAR
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 1
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
RAP
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
BAU
0 - 4
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |