Gaflenz vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ZWE
1 - 0
GAF
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GAF
4 - 0
LAN
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 2
GAF
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GAF
1 - 0
ARD
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 3
GAF
19%
22%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 2
WAI
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
WUR
1 - 0
MIS
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
MIS
0 - 1
LEO
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
KOT
1 - 1
MIS
69%
19%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MIS
0 - 0
STP
30%
24%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |