Gaflenz vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
RAP
4 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
OST
4 - 0
GAF
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 2
SVH
22%
24%
55%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
FCW
5 - 0
GAF
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GAF
3 - 3
SCH
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
WIE
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 1
WIE
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
BAU
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 0
ADM
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
RAP
5 - 0
BAU
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |