Gaflenz vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
GAF
3 - 2
WAI
44%
23%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ZWE
0 - 3
GAF
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 1
FCM
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SVH
0 - 3
GAF
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 2
MAN
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
FCM
3 - 0
ARD
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ARD
1 - 2
WAI
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
6 - 1
ARD
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 0
LAN
43%
24%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
STP
3 - 1
ARD
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |