Gaflenz vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GAF
3 - 1
LEO
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WUR
3 - 1
GAF
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
0 - 1
GOT
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
2 - 2
MAN
28%
23%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAD
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ARD
3 - 1
ZWE
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 2
ARD
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
WAI
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 3
ARD
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |