Gaflenz vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
GAF
2 - 1
STP
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 3
GAF
49%
23%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GAF
3 - 3
STP
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
KOT
4 - 2
GAF
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GAF
7 - 1
VOS
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
SCR
4 - 2
ARD
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ARD
4 - 0
LEO
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
MIS
1 - 0
ARD
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 1
STP
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ZWE
0 - 2
ARD
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |