Gaflenz vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
STP
4 - 3
GAF
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 3
KOT
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
GAF
1 - 5
AMS
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VOS
1 - 4
GAF
48%
23%
28%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
GAF
2 - 2
SCH
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARD
1 - 1
MIS
34%
24%
41%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
STP
1 - 1
ARD
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
ARD
2 - 2
ZWE
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
GOT
1 - 0
ARD
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ARD
1 - 2
SVS
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |