Gafetense vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
76%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
GAF
77%
15%
9%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 2
SER
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
3 - 0
GAF
57%
21%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 4
IDE
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 1
ANG
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 1
ANG
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 2
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUS
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |