Gafetense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 3
ACV
8%
16%
75%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SIN
0 - 1
GAF
80%
15%
6%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
GAF
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
MOS
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
GAF
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 1
BEN
29%
27%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLE
87%
9%
3%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
1 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 7
BEN
10%
22%
67%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |