Gafanha vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 1
GAF
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
OFR
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ANA
2 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CES
0 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
BUS
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |