Gafanha vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GAF
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 3
ANA
29%
26%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 2
FAF
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OFR
4 - 2
GAF
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 3
LUS
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 3
MOR
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 6
LUS
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
RTA
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CES
5 - 0
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
BUS
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |