Gafanha vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
GAF
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
1 - 1
GAF
32%
28%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
4 - 1
ADN
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
1 - 1
GAF
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 1
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
ADO
35%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
PAM
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 1
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |