Gafanha vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
GAF
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANA
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 3
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
CES
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |