Gaddafi vs Uganda Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SCV
1 - 0
GAD
36%
24%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 1
EXP
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
OND
0 - 0
GAD
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 0
GAD
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 0
MCF
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 1
KIB
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
KCC
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
JIN
0 - 0
UGA
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
UGA
4 - 2
SOA
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 0
GAD
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |