Gaddafi vs Kitara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
29.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
URA
2 - 0
GAD
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAD
1 - 2
VIP
37%
28%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
URA
4 - 0
GAD
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GAD
0 - 0
UPD
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
BPF
3 - 2
GAD
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Kitara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
1 - 0
UPD
42%
22%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 2
KIT
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
KIT
10%
14%
76%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 1
PUF
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
TIP
2 - 1
KIT
10%
14%
76%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | -2 |