Gaddafi vs Express SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
OND
0 - 0
GAD
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 0
GAD
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 0
MCF
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
URA
2 - 1
GAD
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
WAK
4 - 1
GAD
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
EXP
2 - 2
KCC
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
JIN
1 - 0
EXP
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
EXP
2 - 2
SOA
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
EXP
31%
29%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
EXP
1 - 1
BRI
54%
26%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |