Gaborone United vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
3º
2º
40
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaborone United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GAB
1 - 1
TOW
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ORA
0 - 2
GAB
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAB
2 - 0
HGH
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
NOT
0 - 0
GAB
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAS
2 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POL
2 - 2
MOG
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 1
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
EXT
50%
25%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
TOW
0 - 1
POL
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |