Gabia vs Costa Tropical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
45.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 0
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAB
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 3
GAB
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GAB
2 - 0
SAN
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
GAB
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ADF
4 - 1
MON
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ADF
21%
19%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ADF
8 - 2
ALO
71%
15%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 2
ADF
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ADF
2 - 0
MED
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |