Gabès vs Etoile Metlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
14º
14º
22
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
GAB
62%
24%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 2
ASS
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TAT
1 - 2
GAB
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GAB
0 - 0
USM
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
GAB
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
ETO
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
ETO
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
ESP
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ETO
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
ETO
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |