G.D.R. Gafetense vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G.D.R. Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 1
GDR
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 4
PRA
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 1
GDR
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GDR
1 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 3
ANG
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
GDA
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 2
TOR
17%
24%
59%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
4 - 0
GDA
80%
15%
5%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GDA
0 - 2
VIZ
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | -1 |