FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Fylde vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DOV
0 - 1
FYL
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FYL
2 - 0
GUL
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ALD
2 - 1
FYL
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FYL
4 - 2
KID
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 4
FYL
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ROT
1 - 3
WIG
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
WIG
3 - 0
DON
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WIG
1 - 2
BRA
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
WIG
0 - 4
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WIG
2 - 1
CRA
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |