Fylde vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 1
WOK
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
2 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
FYL
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
FYL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
3 - 4
YEO
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
TAM
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 1
MAI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
TAM
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
7 - 0
TAM
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 2
ALD
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |