Fylde vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 1
NUN
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
KID
3 - 3
FYL
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FYL
3 - 1
GAI
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 2
HAL
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
TOW
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 0
UNM
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 3
TOW
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
3 - 1
GLO
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |