National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Fylde vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 1
FYL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
FYL
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 1
TOW
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
3 - 1
FYL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 1
FYL
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TOW
5 - 0
COR
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 1
TOW
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 0
BOS
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NUN
0 - 0
TOW
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |