Fylde vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 2
FYL
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FYL
3 - 3
BRA
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 1
FYL
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FYL
2 - 0
GAT
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
FYL
2 - 0
SPE
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
0 - 1
GAT
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 2
GAT
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 3
GAT
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GAT
2 - 1
ALF
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GAT
2 - 2
ALT
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |