Fylde vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
FYL
2 - 0
HED
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
3 - 0
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 1
BWA
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 0
FLE
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 2
GUI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
TOW
3 - 1
GAI
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GAI
1 - 1
WOR
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
STA
4 - 4
GAI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAI
1 - 2
OXF
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STO
1 - 3
GAI
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |