Fylde vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
FYL
0 - 0
SUT
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
FYL
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
KIN
0 - 2
FYL
17%
21%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
WRE
0 - 1
FYL
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FYL
3 - 0
DAG
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CUR
2 - 0
HER
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 0
KET
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CUR
3 - 0
KID
33%
24%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 0
YOR
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CUR
2 - 1
AFC
28%
23%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |