FA Cup 1/512
Global 6-2
Fylde vs Congleton Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
FYL
9%
15%
77%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 2
SPE
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FYL
3 - 1
BRA
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 3
FYL
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FYL
1 - 1
FAR
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Congleton Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CON
6 - 1
ALI
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
FYL
9%
15%
77%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 0
CON
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 2
CON
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CON
3 - 2
NEW
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |