Fylde vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 2
CUR
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 2
SOL
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
FYL
4 - 4
SKE
67%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HED
0 - 1
FYL
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
TOW
2 - 4
CHO
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NUN
2 - 2
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 3
NOR
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
SKE
5 - 2
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
SKE
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |