Fylde vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FYL
2 - 0
MAI
83%
11%
5%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
FYL
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FYL
3 - 0
BRA
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
HAL
0 - 0
FYL
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
FYL
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
HAL
1 - 1
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
FYL
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAI
1 - 1
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 3
MAI
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 3
GAT
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |