Fylde vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
FYL
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FYL
2 - 1
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FYL
3 - 1
FAR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 0
FYL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 1
FYL
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 2
KID
31%
26%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GAT
4 - 3
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 2
CHE
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
GLO
3 - 3
CHE
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
4 - 0
KET
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |