Fylde vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
FYL
6 - 2
HAV
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FYL
0 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
FYL
4 - 1
RAM
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MAI
1 - 1
FYL
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
RAM
5 - 5
FYL
15%
20%
66%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SOL
2 - 2
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
SUT
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |