Fylde vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
FYL
2 - 0
ALF
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CUR
3 - 2
FYL
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
FYL
3 - 1
UNM
74%
16%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 3
FYL
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
FYL
0 - 2
CHO
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALT
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
ALT
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 3
GAI
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 1
GLO
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 1
ALT
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |