Fylde vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
FYL
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 2
TAM
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 1
WOK
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
2 - 1
SOU
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
FYL
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
YEO
1 - 1
ALD
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 0
YOR
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 1
ALD
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EBB
0 - 0
ALD
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |