FVC vs Oranje Nassau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
74.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
14º
14º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PKC
8 - 2
FVC
89%
8%
4%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PEL
3 - 0
FVC
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 4
BLA
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ONS
7 - 1
FVC
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FVC
2 - 2
GOR
17%
18%
66%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oranje Nassau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ORA
3 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PKC
3 - 2
ORA
36%
22%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
ORA
7%
13%
80%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
2 - 2
BRO
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
0 - 1
ORA
27%
20%
53%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |