Lauda vs Waldhof Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
62.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 2
FVL
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 2
FRE
24%
28%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 0
FVL
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 1
BON
46%
28%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
BAH
0 - 0
FVL
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Waldhof Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
WAL
0 - 0
FRE
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
FRE
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
BON
1 - 3
WAL
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WAL
4 - 0
STU
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
REU
0 - 2
WAL
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |