Lauda vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 1
FVL
26%
28%
46%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CRA
2 - 2
FVL
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
REU
2 - 1
FVL
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
FVL
0 - 2
FRE
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
ULM
0 - 2
FVL
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VFR
0 - 3
REU
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
VFR
1 - 2
ULM
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
HEI
4 - 0
VFR
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
HOF
5 - 1
VFR
48%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
VFR
0 - 1
FCE
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |