Lauda vs VfR Heilbronn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
LUD
4 - 2
FVL
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
FVL
2 - 0
SGH
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
RAV
0 - 3
FVL
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
FVL
1 - 1
BON
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
WEI
1 - 3
FVL
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
HEI
1 - 2
DIT
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
HEI
5 - 2
RAV
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
BON
2 - 1
HEI
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
HEI
1 - 1
WEI
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
LUD
1 - 1
HEI
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |